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Anthropogenic or Not, That is the Question!

February 17, 2011

A February 16, 2011 article in the New York Times by Justin Gilliss, suggests a strong link between the recent rash of heavy rains throughout the world to human activity, http://tinyurl.com/barry-stevens143. The report states:

“….. elaborate computer programs that simulate the climate to analyze whether the rise in severe rainstorms, heavy snowfalls and similar events showed that the increase made sense only when the computers factored in the effects of greenhouse gases released by human activities like the burning of fossil fuels.”

“….. that this 7 percent (increase in precipitation) over the last half of the 20th century is well outside the bounds of natural variability”

“….. paper covers climate trends from 1951 to 1999 and therefore does not include any analysis of last year’s extreme precipitation, including catastrophic floods in Pakistan, China and Australia as well as parts of the United States, including Tennessee, Arkansas and California.”

“….. as the earth warms, precipitation extremes will become more intense, winter and summer, simply because warmer air can carry more water vapor.”

“….. severe rains that flooded England and Wales in 2000, the wettest autumn since record-keeping began there in 1766, were made substantially more likely by the greenhouse gases released by human activity.”

“….. memorable floods, which sent geese swimming through city streets, were roughly doubled in a climate with the greenhouse gases.”

“….. (the study) can be expected to draw fire from climate-change contrarians, who have long scoffed at computer simulations of the climate. They point out that such programs cannot fully capture the complexity of the real world.”

To read the entire article, please visit : http://tinyurl.com/barry-stevens143

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5 Comments leave one →
  1. klem permalink
    February 17, 2011 8:59 AM

    “….. that this 7 percent (increase in precipitation) over the last half of the 20th century is well outside the bounds of natural variability”

    What?! How did they arrive at that conclusion? 7 percent is almost insignificant.

    Wow, they have the true AGW Beleivers working at that paper.

  2. February 17, 2011 9:19 AM

    Kelm,

    Please read the article! You point is well taken.

    I refuse to debate the fact that burning hydrocarbons generates CO2, which is a greenhouse gas.

    Whether you believe in anthropogenic induced Climate Change or not, the undisputable fact is we need to reduce our use of fossil fuels for clearly understood economic reasons – stop the export of USD for foreign fuel. And by the way, in doing so we clean up the environment!

    Not to be disrespectful, but GW for Global Warming is “Out,” Climate Change is “In.”
    You may want to change AGW to ACC.

    Barry

  3. forrest Higgs permalink
    February 19, 2011 10:18 AM

    Barry,

    Re: “Not to be disrespectful, but GW for Global Warming is “Out,” Climate Change is “In.”
    You may want to change AGW to ACC.’

    Not to be disrespectful, but changing the name of a scam doesn’t magically make it legitimate. :-)

    Forrest

  4. February 19, 2011 11:53 AM

    SCAM is just another four letter word! Why don’t you put your resources behind your four letter word and prove it’s a scam. I am sure you will have some intellectual comment to support why you won’t need to spend the time to do so.

    You remind me of the people who labeled the “Titanic” unsinkable. All this proves the quality of your comment and depth of understand to support what you say.

    I fail to understand how you can exist in today’s society with scams all around you in politics, science, religion, commercialism, technology and all of humanity. Oh by the way, Cheerios was a scam by the agricultural industry to get kids to horse feed called oats. Ever eat Cherrios!

  5. February 20, 2011 8:44 PM

    as if!

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